Shelby County continues a trend line of losing population and income. The following are data from the IRS.
Shelby County Net Migration Trends
2011-12: -3,162
2012-13: -7,099
2013-14: -5,668
Shelby County Gross Income Migration
2013-14:
$742,133,000 in-migration total
$965,955,000 out-migration total
$49,544 in-migration average per tax return
$54,416 out-migration average per tax return
2012-13:
$730,726,000 in-migration total
$1,027,083,000 out-migration total
$46,210 in-migration average per tax return
$52,862 out-migration average per tax return
Shelby County Net Migration Trends
2013-14:
30,209 in-migration
35,877 out-migration
2012-13:
31,871 in-migration
38,970 out-migration
2011-12:
33,184 in-migration
36,346 out-migration
Different State Migration
2013-14:
23,676 in-migration
28,424 out-migration
2012-13:
25,686 in-migration
31,160 out-migration
2011-12:
26,762 in-migration
28,403 out-migration
Same State Migration
2013-14:
6,206 in-migration
7,125 out-migration
2012-13:
5,842 in-migration
7,421 out-migration
2011-12:
6,122 in-migration
7,518 out-migration
County-to-County In-Migration Flows – 2013-14
Involving more than 200 people
3,500 – DeSoto County
1,672 – Tipton County
1,379 – Fayette County
704 – Crittenden County
633 – Marshall County
614 – Nashville/Davidson County
514 – Los Angeles County
435 – Cook County (Chicago)
413 – Madison County (Jackson) TN
300 – Harris County (Houston) TX
250 – Dallas County, TX
238 – San Diego County
220 – Travis County (Austin) TX
216 – Fulton County (Atlanta)
211 – Rutherford County (Nashville MSA) TN
201 – Knox County, TN
201 – Pulaski County (Little Rock)
County-to-County Out-Migration Flows – 2013-14
Involving more than 200 people
4,104 – DeSoto County
1,757 – Travis County (Austin) TX
1,716 – Fayette County
1,430 – Tipton County
985 – Davidson County (Nashville)
659 – Crittenden County
539 – Marshall County
532 – Harris County (Houston) TX
516 – Dallas County TX
405 – Cook County (Chicago)
363 – Fulton County (Atlanta)
347 – Tarrant County TX (Fort Worth)
339 – Williamson County (Nashville MSA)
327 – Madison County (Jackson) TN
264 – Rutherford County (Nashville MSA)
239 – Maricopa County (Phoenix)
228 – DeKalb County (Atlanta)
222 – Knox County
218 – Pulaski County (Little Rock)
217 – Los Angeles County
213 – Collin County, TX (Dallas MSA)
210 – San Diego County
206 – Cobb County (Atlanta MSA)
203 – Denton County (Dallas MSA)
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Interesting that so much of the migration out of Memphis and Shelby Co is to Nashville and surrounding counties in the Nashville MSA.
No doubt that region is on fire with growth.
For some reason that escapes me, this data made me think of Governor Tom McCall of Oregon in early 1970s who got a far sighted land use bill through the state’s legislature (the bill that required urban growth boundaries for every city). He wanted to protect the environment and eliminate sprawl.
In an interview with CBS he famously said “Come visit us again and again. This is a state of excitement. But for heaven’s sake, don’t come here to live.”
Of course we know this reverse psychology seemed to work, and the state’s largest City with its historic core built the nation’s most successful light rail transit system.
…just as interesting is the number of people from Nashville and surrounding counties in the Nashville MSA that are moving to Shelby County.
GP, you failed to acknowledge that Tennessee’s Chapter 1101, Urban Growth Boundaries, was in part based on Oregon’s landmark land use law (see also Florida and New Jersey). The only problem was that the reference to “annexation reserve” areas created a land grab by municipalities who wanted as much territory as possible and not a planned limit to urban growth.
Sadly, developers and suburban growth interests have watered down planned growth and we city tax payers pay the bill without any control of growth at our borders.
Visit Memphis but don’t live here.
Won’t be long before “Big Shelby” is a thing of the past in Tennessee, especially since Nashville is growing so rapidly.
No worries about “Big Shelby” going anywhere. Not a very bright comment from the usual suspect. You apparently know Nashville about as well as you know Memphis. Even if Shelby were to continue to shrink and Davidson continued to grow at their current rates, it would be 50 years before Davidson’s population surpassed Shelby County. For Brag-ville to be so great, there sure do seem to be a lot of people from there spending a lot of there life commenting here. Their quality of life must be keeping them inside and glued to their screens. Sad.
Cheerleading is fine, but “Team Memphis” rarely makes good plays and hardly ever gets on the scoreboard.
The negative realities and the negative perceptions about this city and region are far greater than the positive things happening here. The balance is just too much out of proportion and hurts every individual and business that calls this place home.
Thanks for posting the same comment twice, but it does not change the facts about “Big Shelby” remaining just that for quite some time to come. What it does show is you know how to use “Ctrl+C”.
Commenter 38120: an exploration of sadomasochism.
Per the front page of today’s CA, Memphis will soon fall to become the second largest city of TN. Nashville is quickly closing the gap and is now only about 1400 population short of passing Memphis to become the largest city in TN. Another civic point of pride lost to Nashville.
38120,
Read Chatul’s comment. Everything you post is essentially being ignored by even first time readers. Nobody anywhere like a troll.